Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.001407 0.001498 0.001591 0.001695 0.001807 0.001924 0.002056
2024-10-20 0.001257 0.001379 0.001510 0.001659 0.001827 0.002009 0.002223
2024-10-27 0.001165 0.001309 0.001467 0.001653 0.001869 0.002111 0.002405
2024-11-03 0.001062 0.001216 0.001389 0.001598 0.001846 0.002132 0.002489
2024-11-10 0.001015 0.001183 0.001374 0.001612 0.001900 0.002240 0.002676
2024-11-17 0.000960 0.001135 0.001339 0.001597 0.001916 0.002300 0.002804
2024-11-24 0.000928 0.001112 0.001330 0.001611 0.001966 0.002402 0.002986
2024-12-01 0.000878 0.001064 0.001289 0.001583 0.001959 0.002431 0.003075
2024-12-08 0.000839 0.001029 0.001261 0.001568 0.001968 0.002479 0.003188
2024-12-15 0.000806 0.000999 0.001237 0.001557 0.001980 0.002528 0.003305
2024-12-22 0.000781 0.000977 0.001223 0.001557 0.002005 0.002595 0.003445
2024-12-29 0.000751 0.000949 0.001198 0.001542 0.002010 0.002634 0.003549
2025-01-05 0.000726 0.000926 0.001183 0.001542 0.002038 0.002713 0.003720
2025-01-12 0.000689 0.000889 0.001147 0.001512 0.002023 0.002729 0.003803
2025-01-19 0.000666 0.000867 0.001130 0.001507 0.002044 0.002797 0.003963
2025-01-26 0.000628 0.000823 0.001082 0.001458 0.001998 0.002767 0.003976
2025-02-02 0.000614 0.000813 0.001079 0.001470 0.002041 0.002867 0.004190
2025-02-09 0.000592 0.000790 0.001059 0.001456 0.002045 0.002909 0.004315
2025-02-16 0.000581 0.000782 0.001057 0.001469 0.002089 0.003011 0.004540
2025-02-23 0.000557 0.000756 0.001029 0.001444 0.002073 0.003022 0.004619
2025-03-02 0.000539 0.000737 0.001011 0.001431 0.002076 0.003061 0.004744
2025-03-09 0.000523 0.000720 0.000995 0.001421 0.002082 0.003105 0.004880
2025-03-16 0.000511 0.000708 0.000986 0.001421 0.002103 0.003172 0.005058